Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Arakni, Marionette (CC)

Arakni, Marionette

85 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bartosz Dobrowolski

3rd • 7-4-0

64%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

5.2

Surp

5.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R17 CC

Round 17: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.31
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.37
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.43
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.18
R13	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.83
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R15	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.78
R16	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.49
R17	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Tommaso Viscido

5th • 7-3-0

80%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.7

Surp

5.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Turcotte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dexter Canright (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs 岡西達也 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.26
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.69
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.30
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.28
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.63
R16	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Tom Escoffier

21st • 8-1-0

89%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

5.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.44
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.22
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.33
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Lucas Dutailly

52nd • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

6.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fredrick Gamble (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.63
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.57
R14	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R15	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.71

Enki Dupaquier

101st • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

5.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs William Bradshaw (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.07
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.48
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53

Brodie Spurlock

102nd • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robert Piper (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.38
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.42
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.42
R15	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.95

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

107th • 7-2-0

33%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

4.6

Surp

6.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Joshua Rath (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

6.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.24
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.48
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.60
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.64
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.71

masaru okuda

31st • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.60
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.38
R14	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Brian Lorenz

35th • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.55
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.89
R15	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Luke Gilmore

36th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cody Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.25
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Cass Emerson

39th • 6-3-0

22%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.25
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.45
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.57
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.69
R15	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Anton Cid Mejias

61st • 6-3-0

44%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

5.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 雅貴大場 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.55
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.99
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.69
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Matthew Harris

92nd • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rocko Yan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Raphael Rosa

97th • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Reuben Thomas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.09
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.57
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.81

Matthew Clark

100th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.7

Surp

5.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chen Ze-Wei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.47
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.32
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.57
R14	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Roman Legíň

106th • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.7

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.22
R13	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.69
R15	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.15

Stephen Henry

141st • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.10
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.44
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.76
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.85
R15	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.98

Hao-Han Chuang

138th • 5-3-1

89%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Joel Recinos III (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Stephen Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.32
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.95

GAICHI YAMADA

32nd • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

75:25

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.24
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.58
R13	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.83
R14	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jude Cornett

76th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 岡西達也 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.77
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Arthur Trehet

81st • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Anthony Dang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.62
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.57
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.76
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jacob Trossing

103rd • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.12
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.10
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.60
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.15

Kenny Tran

68th • 4-4-1

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.26
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.35
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R15	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Christopher Iaali

120th • 4-4-1

89%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Burns (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Matthew Dilks (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Zak Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.38
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua Myles Lim

44th • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.81

Enes Findik

123rd • 4-5-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Shawn Tjong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Jimmy Nguyen

114th • 3-6-0

44%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Oh Oh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ignacio Alvarado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.29
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.53
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.60
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Logan King

132nd • 3-6-0

67%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Dang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.15
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R15	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.20

Beslan Tatayev

133rd • 3-6-0

56%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.48
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.06

Peter Bråss

148th • 3-6-0

78%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.60
R15	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Yong Yi Chua

dropped • 3-3-1

57%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anthony Dang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.16
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.86
R13	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Thorbjørn Lind Jensen

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Denny Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.65
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Zak Miller

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrei Sebastian Suciu

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.53
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Andrew Singleton

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marie Watson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.02
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jun Kheng Ong

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 雅貴大場 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Clements

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.35
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jacob Gladman

dropped • 4-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lucas Oswald

dropped • 4-1-0

60%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.11
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.26
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.98
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Francesco Giorgio

dropped • 3-1-1

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Joel Recinos III (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Raj Parikh

dropped • 3-1-1

40%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Nick Butcher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.25
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.43
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-

Anthony Pham

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Amy Hazel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Ang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.43
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Arjun Garg

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs John Milner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.32
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.23

Gilles Molina

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.12
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Jake mccormack

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robert Piper (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.47
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jean Luka Zorko

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Amy Hazel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.42
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.46
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Lee Kimball

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.13
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.56
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.87
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Lucas Tenorio

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Unknown)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.65
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Matthew W

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.46
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Ryu San jose

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryan Bell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.43
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Samed Demir

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Young (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.25
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shuto Ushiro

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luke Snyder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.22
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.43
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.46
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Wiroon Juesathainrat

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.46
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

kei iikubo

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.73
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Cody Broten

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Connor Leverton

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Steven Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

DYLAN MANGINI

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Jason Watkins

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs gabriel ebady (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Jin Han Toh

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Lo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.38
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Maximilian Reichl

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.25
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.51
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Neil Bautista

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Nick McGrath

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Zak Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.18
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nova Chan

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Viet Pham (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs May Hayden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.22
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.34
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Paul Crame

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Pauli Viimaranta

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steven Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.22
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.35
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Ryouichi Sakazaki

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.87
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Shawn Tjong

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Sternesky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs William Bradshaw (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.46
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thiago Almeida Cunha

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.43
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

William Pearlman

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Xavier McLean (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs song kyunghwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.32
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.80

Alexej Vollmer

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael McDowell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.64
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Daniel Hammer

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Franche Tan

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.55
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jakub Koenner

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.95
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Kazuhiro Watanabe

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Kurtis phelps

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs song kyunghwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jean Paul Negron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Shawn Dhaliwal

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chih Wei Huang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.27
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Evan Ford

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 雅貴大場 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Sam Coons

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Tessa Howard

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

HIROKI ASAUMI

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Theodore Andrew

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Jacob Baugh

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Nathan Burns

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josue Murillo Leon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Elyse Symmes

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ZongRu Wu (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.