Katsu, the Wanderer at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
131st • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Chen Ze-Wei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
139th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joshua Rath (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
50th • 5-4-0
11%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Round 3: Win vs Luke Snyder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Crame (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
11% (1/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
86th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Round 5: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Round 12: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Burns (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fredrick Gamble (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
0%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Young (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.