Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

131st 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chen Ze-Wei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Dash I/O
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Dorinthea Ironsong
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
139th 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Teo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Dash I/O
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, Huntsman
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joshua Rath (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Puffin, Hightail
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50th 5-4-0
22%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
!!
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Snyder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Crame (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
86th 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Dash I/O
!!
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
dropped 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Burns (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
dropped 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fredrick Gamble (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Jarl Vetreiði
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
dropped 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Young (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.