Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

28 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ian Zhang

58th • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

6.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs 岡西達也 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.10
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.86
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.16
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.79
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.46

Emanuel Corps-Ortiz

72nd • 7-2-0

33%

Meta

+3.7

Perf

4.6

Surp

6.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakob Allan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

20:80

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

20:80

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.73
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.39
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.78	1.21
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.08
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.66
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Sam Sutherland

13th • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.10
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.39
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.78
R12	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R13	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.95
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.36
R15	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Jun Loong Wong

112th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mitch Winter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R14	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R15	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Alex Chițu

121st • 4-5-0

22%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Reuben Thomas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.20
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.73
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.57
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R13	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.99
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Yudai Shimizu

128th • 4-5-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Bertrand (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.73
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.36
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Bun Ar

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs motohiro makigano (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emily Froese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.28
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.36
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.70
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Eduardo Melo

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ben Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.46
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Edward Kimble

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.38
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.78	1.31
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.70
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Jordan Jalbert-Ross

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chih Wei Huang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.69
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.66
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Sam Davison

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

Xincheng Hou

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs May Hayden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.24
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.38
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.92
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Connor Bryant

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tom Dagan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.44
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.26
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Esmond Heng

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.92
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Henrique Gouvêa

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Maurice Hostettler

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bart Horré (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

Pat Eshghy

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.71
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Philippe Thai

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 34:66

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

Warre Sevens

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.78	2.18

Zdeněk Matura

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs シンヤカワグチ (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.66
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

kouji hamada

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Lewis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Milner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.36
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.53
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Alan Teixeira

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robert Piper (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.44
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Harpreet Singh Dhillon

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.70
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Johnny Zen

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Bertrand (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

SEAN STELL

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.33
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

William Bradshaw

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Tjong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Gaia Enomoto

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Kai Pickett

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.