Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

149th 5-4-0
11%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 3-1-1
20%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mitch Winter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
dropped 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.