Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
59th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.7
Surp
6.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Crame (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Round 14: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
65th • 7-2-0
33%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
8.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
8.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
66th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
7.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Round 13: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
7.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
46th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Tjong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Round 12: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Kenny Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Kong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xavier McLean (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Reichel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
0%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayashi Takashi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.