Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

20 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rob Catton

59th • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

6.3

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul Crame (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.18
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.11
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.82
R12	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.38
R13	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.29
R15	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.35	1.04

Thomas Battaglia

65th • 7-2-0

44%

Meta

+3.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

7.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs 岡西達也 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

7.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.11
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.71
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.65
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.32
R13	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.49
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.54
R15	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.06

Shahmir Samee

66th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

6.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robert Szura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.83
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.12
R14	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.54
R15	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Zachary Cauchi

46th • 4-5-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Darren Taing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Tjong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Kenny Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.07
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.18
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.96
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.65

Colin Topper

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.23

June Lekstutis

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.39
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Cubi Nguyen

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.69
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Evanking Chiu

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Keith Tan

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.53	0.21
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Masaru Yoshizawa

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.29
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.53	1.07

Max McLean

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bryan Kong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.32

Russell Howse

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.85
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Sebastian Spicher

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.47

Victoria Lakey

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 24:76

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dale Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Dylan Tucker

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Xavier McLean (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.74
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

James Lewis

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Reichel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.50
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jian Wei Tee

dropped • 0-5-0

40%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.47	-

Teddy Snyder

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Brandon Turcotte

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs lucas gomes pacheco (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Abdurrahman Putra

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hayashi Takashi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.