FaB-Results

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joshua Lau
89th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
8.1
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Jarl Vetreiði
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Roman Legíň (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Alex Tyler
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 雅貴 大場 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.