FaB-Results
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joshua Lau
89th • 7-2-0
11%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
8.4
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Jarl Vetreiði
!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Roman Legíň (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Alex Tyler
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 雅貴 大場 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.