Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

27th 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
7.7
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Herndon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Valda, Seismic Impact
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Dagan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
Dash I/O
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
109th 8-1-0
44%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
7.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs gabriel ebady (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Anthony Dang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
dropped 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Dash I/O
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs SEAN STELL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Emily Froese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
dropped 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victoria Lakey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
dropped 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Pleiades, Superstar
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
Dash I/O
!!
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oh Oh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leila Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Dash I/O
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Piper (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tariq Patel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
dropped 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
Dash I/O
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Lucas Morrison (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
dropped 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
dropped 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
dropped 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.