Jarl Vetreiði at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026
Jarl Vetreiði
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
8.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Herndon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Tom Dagan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
8.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
109th • 8-1-0
44%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
6.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs gabriel ebady (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Anthony Dang (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs SEAN STELL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Emily Froese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 90:10
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victoria Lakey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oh Oh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 90:10, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leila Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 90% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keith Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Piper (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tariq Patel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Lucas Morrison (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.