Arakni, Huntsman
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 5-3-1
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
Round 14: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
67th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roman Legíň (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
37th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josue Murillo Leon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 13: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
105th • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Round 14: Win vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 15: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
122nd • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Brannen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Luke Snyder (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
146th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Win vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ignacio Alvarado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Stephen Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
147th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs John Milner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
155th • 3-6-0
78%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Stephen Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Bousch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Lo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke E (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tessa Howard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Martin KRAWIES (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 5: Loss vs Reuben Thomas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mitch Winter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.