Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 9-2-0
55%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
7.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Round 12: Win vs Kenny Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Round 15: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R17 CC
Round 17: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
7.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R16 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R17 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chen Ze-Wei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marie Watson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.