Prism, Awakener of Sol

Prism, Awakener of Sol

21 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

19th 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.9
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Denny Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Huntsman
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Molho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
62nd 8-1-0
89%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Puffin, Hightail
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Huntsman
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
29th 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
6.9
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Fai, Rising Rebellion
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 72:28
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40th 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominic Chong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Arakni, Huntsman
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
53rd 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Dash I/O
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
80:20
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Ben Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
90th 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
Pleiades, Superstar
!!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Robert Piper (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
dropped 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
Katsu, the Wanderer
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Pleiades, Superstar
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 71:29
dropped 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
dropped 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Pleiades, Superstar
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
dropped 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
dropped 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Dash I/O
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Lind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Katsu, the Wanderer
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, Huntsman
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Valda, Seismic Impact
!!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Dash I/O
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Pleiades, Superstar
!!
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 36:64
Arakni, Huntsman
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
dropped 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
dropped 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Tjong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
dropped 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Arakni, Huntsman
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Dash I/O
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
dropped 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 24:76
Katsu, the Wanderer
!!
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.