Prism, Awakener of Sol

Prism, Awakener of Sol

21 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

19th 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Denny Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Huntsman
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Molho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
62nd 8-1-0
89%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.8
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Puffin, Hightail
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, Huntsman
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
29th 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
7.8
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40th 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominic Chong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Arakni, Huntsman
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
53rd 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Dash I/O
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Ben Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
90th 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.4
Diff
Pleiades, Superstar
!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Guzman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Robert Piper (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
dropped 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Pleiades, Superstar
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31
dropped 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
dropped 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Pleiades, Superstar
!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
dropped 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
dropped 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Dash I/O
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Lind (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
Jarl Vetreiði
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
Arakni, Huntsman
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 58:42
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Dash I/O
!!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Pleiades, Superstar
!
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
Arakni, Huntsman
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
dropped 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
dropped 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Tjong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
dropped 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Arakni, Huntsman
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Dash I/O
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
dropped 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 19:81
Katsu, the Wanderer
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.