Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ben Dodd

117th • 5-4-0

22%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gilles Molina (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.89
R13	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Jasper de Riet

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.23
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.68
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Bart Horré

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Leila Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Clément LOUBIERE

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Paul Crame (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.57
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.