Pleiades, Superstar
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
6.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dusk Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Round 5: Win vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs May Hayden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 15: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
144th • 3-6-0
44%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 征隆 内山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
Round 13: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
15:85
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edric Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayashi Takashi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.