Kassai of the Golden Sand at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 7-1-1
33%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.0
Surp
8.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs nicolas Jamoulle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Roman Legíň (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
Round 14: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
8.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
15th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Melvin Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Kong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
34th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dexter Canright (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Oh Oh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
54th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
8.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnny Zen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Round 15: Win vs Cody Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
8.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Win |
130th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
45th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Bell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs shirui wu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Round 14: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R15 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
84th • 4-4-1
78%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Oh Oh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Draw vs Emily Froese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Draw |
151st • 4-4-1
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Valentine (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Teddy Snyder (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Ignacio Alvarado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Stephen Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Draw |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
126th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan King (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teddy Snyder (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
111th • 3-6-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Murphy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Ang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenta Miki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Topper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Gui Cohen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
Round 3: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leila Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitch Winter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Frederick Governale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frederick Governale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Lo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leila Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.