Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Anthony Faciane

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs SEAN STELL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

Levi Kujawa-Seda

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 秀太栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Andreas Björnsson

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.