Fai, Rising Rebellion at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
150th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.1
Surp
5.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 14: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
71st • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs song kyunghwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Oh Oh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Ignacio Alvarado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Galvan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.