Fai, Rising Rebellion
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
150th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 14: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
71st • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Win vs song kyunghwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Oh Oh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Ignacio Alvarado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Galvan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.