Dorinthea Ironsong at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026
Dorinthea Ironsong
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
95th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
Round 4: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Round 14: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Loss |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
115th • 2-7-0
22%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
15:85
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 63:37
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Brannen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dusk Low (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlo Ople (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Russell Howse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Murphy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs song kyunghwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Kim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs MASAYA IWASAKI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.