Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Battle Hardened: Phoenix 2025
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-1-0
89%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Max Noman ()
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Avezov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Vore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 80:20
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joseph Freeh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Leonardo Ramirez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Pham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CODY READY (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Karl Massera (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kent O’Neal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brayden Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Jesus Barraza (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Avezov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Neice (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kent O’Neal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ray Sopal (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Jacob Steimer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Morgan Key (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hal Nunn (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Draw |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Cuevas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob West (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Othman Akel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Koppean (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alli Wheeler (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Steimer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Morgan Key (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gus Enger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob West (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enrique Castro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keanan McClellan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charles Poe (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Xander Pumphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxim Lukin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Loss vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Vance Jones (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Sanchez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Glancy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Xander Pumphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alejandro Cuevas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick McKenna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Speck (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Steimer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ray Sopal (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peyton Gage (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick McKenna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Enrique Castro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xander Pumphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Morford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Neice (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Glancy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Glancy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Bakhshpour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leonardo Ramirez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brayden Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Howard (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brock Ullom (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.