Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened: Phoenix

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kenneth Amers

dropped • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Patrick McKenna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Owen Keane (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Avezov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Scott Corell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.61
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.76
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.40

Jesus Barraza

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Javier Calderon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kent O’Neal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Conde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hal Nunn (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Johnny Kunz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.07
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Teriki Soliai

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raul Sierra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Devin Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Patrick McKenna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Devin Chen

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Avezov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gus Enger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.