Arakni, Huntsman at Battle Hardened: Phoenix 2025
Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brock Ullom (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shereena Decano (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jon Steelsmith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xander Pumphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesus Barraza (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.