Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Koppean (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Owen Keane (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Reina Alvizo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Brown (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott Corell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Vore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Bakhshpour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Amers (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kent O’Neal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Morin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 91:9
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brock Ullom (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Wilhite (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Max Noman ()
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs CODY READY (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | 50% | Win | |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Morgan Key (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Kenneth Amers (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Gomez (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shereena Decano (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Avezov (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devin Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Remle Macasinag (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gus Enger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.