Jarl Vetreiði at Battle Hardened: Phoenix 2025
Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Maxim Lukin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Reina Alvizo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Alli Wheeler (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brayden Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Draw |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.