FaB-Results
Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ryu San jose
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Speck (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Steimer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Kano, Dracai of Aether
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Owen Keane (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
Zachary Wallach
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Othman Akel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Javier Calderon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Koppean (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Karl Massera (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.