FaB-Results

Valda, Seismic Impact at Battle Hardened: Phoenix 2025

Valda, Seismic Impact

Valda, Seismic Impact

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tyler Horspool
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Conde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CODY READY (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alejandro Cuevas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenneth Amers (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kent O’Neal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Henry Gomez
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Reina Alvizo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CODY READY (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake Marohl (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.