Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 8-3-0
55%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
5.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David House (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Solomon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21
Round 9: Win vs Ashton Dorsey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
36%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Gibson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jad Zamerli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Angus Schuler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jerry James (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Barak Abitbol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
27%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Smith (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Brake (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Danne Blomfield (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Loss vs Angus Schuler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Round 8: Win vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 10: Win vs Lee Mackley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
27% (3/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cassandra Hancock (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Wolffenbuttel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaan Cekli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Round 10: Win vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mae Jane Collett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Harris Lenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Barak Abitbol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lee Mackley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Topher Curtis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Smith (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Loss vs Ross Collett (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Holland (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Lee Mackley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs PJ Smith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Yee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Mackley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danne Blomfield (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs bill huynh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Gomez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.