Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Henry Groves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cameron Hay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Neveiah Tetuhi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
5th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs alisa qian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Delaney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 8-3-0
55%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Delaney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jerry James (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 8-3-0
64%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Helen McCann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Torr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ashton Dorsey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Neveiah Tetuhi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jerry James (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shaun Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Brake (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Steel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Bewley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Wellington (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
91%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Stanley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaan Cekli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Seb Hart (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jerry James (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Wade (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Wellington (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jad Zamerli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jerry James (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seb Hart (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Torr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Danne Blomfield (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Grayson Ziogas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaan Cekli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ross Collett (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jared Fung (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 77:23
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Barak Abitbol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danne Blomfield (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shaun Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 49:51
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Russell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Helen McCann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Danne Blomfield (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lee Mackley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Brake (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Bewley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Shaun Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mae Jane Collett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Megumi Hori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Clark (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angus Schuler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jad Zamerli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Barak Abitbol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henry Groves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.