Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Auckland 2025

Puffin, Hightail

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonathan Luey

dropped • 7-4-0

36%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

5.5

Surp

5.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jared Fung (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Shaun Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Neveiah Tetuhi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

36% (4/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Win	✗	0.78	0.39
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.21
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.27
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.66
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.94
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Win	✗	0.78	1.76
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.53

Michael Glover

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Russell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jad Zamerli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Barak Abitbol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Smith (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.71
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Jesse Brake

dropped • 1-4-0

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Tulloch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Smith (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 25:75

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Grayson Ziogas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.56
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.