Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Auckland 2025

Katsu, the Wanderer

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ross Collett

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luke Siriwardene (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Bewley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 16:84

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mae Jane Collett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.76
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.62
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jared Fung

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucinda Robertson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Bewley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.69
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Cassandra Hancock

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.