Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Calling: Auckland 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ryan Williams

dropped • 7-4-0

73%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 83:17

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Neveiah Tetuhi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lee Mackley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.02
R2	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.24
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R7	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.91
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.44
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.69
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Jad Zamerli

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs William Gibson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.20
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.20
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Lucinda Robertson

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jared Fung (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Solomon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 31:69

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Samuel Russell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Dave Laffan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.25
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.30
R5	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Danne Blomfield

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adam Torr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David House (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.15
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.63
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Sean Delaney

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Megumi Hori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.55
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

George Chew

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Bewley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Naomi Wang

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 31:69

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs PJ Smith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.