Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Schroder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Naomi Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.