Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed
Jarl Vetreiði
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-5-0
36%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Steel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Neveiah Tetuhi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
60%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Angus Schuler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs PJ Smith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Manuel Solomon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Wade (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs bill huynh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Mackley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Unknown)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Gomez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danne Blomfield (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mae Jane Collett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Helen McCann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Draw |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.