Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-5-0
73%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ross Newson (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Harris Lenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Schroder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David House (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Round 10: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
85:15
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 87:13
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 85% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.