Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed
Valda, Seismic Impact
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Gibson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Win vs Sam Smith (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs alisa qian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.