Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed
Valda, Seismic Impact
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Gibson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
Round 3: Win vs Sam Smith (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs alisa qian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.