Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Topher Curtis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shaun Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Smith (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Henry Groves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.