Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Topher Curtis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shaun Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Smith (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taylah Wells (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Henry Groves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.