Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs bill huynh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Topher Curtis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 8-3-0
73%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Siriwardene (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harris Lenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Schroder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 7-3-1
64%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Seb Hart (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Dave Laffan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Angus Schuler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cameron Hay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ross Collett (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Angus Schuler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hemal Patel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Neveiah Tetuhi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Bewley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ashton Dorsey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Sean Delaney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Round 7: Win vs Jad Zamerli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jerry James (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs alisa qian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grayson Ziogas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Holland (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Unknown)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Smith (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dave Laffan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Stanley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Delaney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Siriwardene (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Russell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Wolffenbuttel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jad Zamerli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grayson Ziogas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Wolffenbuttel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Solomon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs alisa qian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Torr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ross Collett (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Wolffenbuttel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs George Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Yee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jared Fung (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.