Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs bill huynh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Topher Curtis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 8-3-0
64%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Siriwardene (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harris Lenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Schroder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 7-3-1
55%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Seb Hart (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Dave Laffan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Angus Schuler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cameron Hay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Win vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Draw |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
55%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Spencer Horton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ross Collett (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Angus Schuler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hemal Patel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Neveiah Tetuhi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Bewley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ashton Dorsey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Win vs Sean Delaney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 7: Win vs Jad Zamerli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jerry James (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs alisa qian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grayson Ziogas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Holland (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Unknown)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Smith (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dave Laffan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Sean Stanley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Delaney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Siriwardene (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Hall (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Russell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Hayes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaiden Mann (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Tim Wolffenbuttel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jad Zamerli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Marshall (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grayson Ziogas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Wolffenbuttel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Solomon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs alisa qian (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Torr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ross Collett (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Wolffenbuttel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Win vs George Chew (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Yee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jared Fung (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.