FaB-Results
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Vore
3rd • 9-4-0
92%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kaan Cekli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cameron Hay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Dash I/O
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jayden Allan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Casey Wilson
dropped • 6-5-0
91%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaan Cekli (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Groves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Dave Laffan
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Wellington (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Steel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Smith (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucinda Robertson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Jack Steel
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Darge (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Helen McCann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dave Laffan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ashton Dorsey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Christopher Wade
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grayson Ziogas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Wolffenbuttel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.