Prism, Awakener of Sol at Calling: Auckland 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Collins

3rd • 9-4-0

69%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.29
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.37
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.43
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.65
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.12
R11	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.88
R13	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Angus Schuler

dropped • 5-4-1

70%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ashton Dorsey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.06
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.04
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.29
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.87
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.85
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Mickail Lim

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cassandra Hancock (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samuel Russell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Harris Lenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jack Steel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.10

Robert Hall

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ben Wolffenbuttel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Barak Abitbol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David House (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Helen McCann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.49
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.81
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Tim Wolffenbuttel

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Henry Groves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Holland (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Topher Curtis

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Holland (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.