Calling: Auckland 2025 - Classic Constructed - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Collins

3rd • 9-4-0

69%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Will Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Max Middleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.18
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.18
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.28
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.50
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.41
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.10
R11	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.84
R13	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Angus Schuler

dropped • 5-4-1

70%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 88:12

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ashton Dorsey (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.08
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.04
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.27
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Draw	✓	0.66	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.86
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.54
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Mickail Lim

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cassandra Hancock (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 66:34

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samuel Russell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Harris Lenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jack Steel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.26
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.41
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.66
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.90

Robert Hall

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ben Wolffenbuttel (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Barak Abitbol (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David House (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Helen McCann (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Glover (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.58
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.51
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Tim Wolffenbuttel

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Henry Groves (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Holland (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.09
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Topher Curtis

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Holland (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.