Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry at Battle Hardened: Minneapolis
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 8-2-0
70%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Gump (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Bray (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Braxton Friend (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
Round 6: Win vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Round 9: Win vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
24th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody Williams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Sandau (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tristan Pisani-Blair (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Win vs Tad Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
46th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Parker Sutton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Davis Purcell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
56th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Marshall (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Matza (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 23:77
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs John McGovern (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Round 9: Loss vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
57th • 4-5-0
78%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Burns (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody McCarron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diana Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nik Katebian (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
63rd • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Baar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Marefke (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Reese Toomre (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs quintin ludtke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jerome Trujillo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dillon Sloat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Swinford (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Josh Martin (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Seman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs christian gilbert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe Mastowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bradley Jamrozik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nik Katebian (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Josh Martin (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Levy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Orr (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Revera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dillon Sloat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Jared Smith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vince Rothman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Jonathen Byrd (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Miller (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cameron Robbins (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Valdez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs quintin ludtke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Abigail Welday (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Jasiel Diez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Porter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seth Comstock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dakotah Kintigh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zoe Daniels (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 91:9
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Levy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeffrey Hicks (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Braxton Friend (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tucker Gray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 91:9
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Marefke (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Matza (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Presley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.