Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Battle Hardened

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brandon Akers

19th • 7-2-0

33%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

6.6

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Davis Purcell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Evan Dyck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

6.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.03
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.20
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.18
R9	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Win	✗	0.79	2.24

Alex Ptak

23rd • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs gabriel ebady (Unknown)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Duane Flier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dylan Myers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Berg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.34
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.51
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.24
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.50
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Cas Mulder

29th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.8

Surp

3.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs John Padavic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Clifford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Zackary Whitt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs John McGovern (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.09
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.48
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.61
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.99
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Ben Swinford

69th • 2-7-0

78%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dallin Wallenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andy Hong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs nicklas starland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Cody McCarron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas Mejac

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Seman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dillon Sloat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David M. Smith (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Duane Flier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.10
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.10
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Riley Lont

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs nicklas starland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Justin Fryar (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Elly Bird (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.43
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.52
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Matthew Vore

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abigail Welday (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zackary Whitt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.75
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Michael Clair

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.12
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Michael Rutkowski

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Elly Bird (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jack Sandau (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs John McGovern (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.16
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Joshua MacMillan

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Chang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Brock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Jonathan Pickens

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Baar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jerome Trujillo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Nicholas Chang

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joshua MacMillan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kenn Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Colin Marshall

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Levy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Michael Dahm

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Freeh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Bradley Pasbjerg

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Taylor Crawford

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Klein (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.