Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at Battle Hardened

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Davis Purcell

32nd • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Pack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Devin McAtee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Seman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.23
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.29
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R9	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Matthew Tickal

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Darin Voight (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Caleb Womack (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Patrick Nelson

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Seth Comstock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hurt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Baar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Demetris Guzman

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Mott (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Ross (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.34
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Erick Avila

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Magri (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Taylor Stuhr

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henry (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.