Prism, Awakener of Sol
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-3-0
73%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ren Fisk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elly Bird (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
Round 7: Win vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
36th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Clifford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cole Love (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Leyva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 9: Win vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
66th • 3-6-0
56%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diana Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs quintin ludtke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Clifford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Win vs Austin Stanley (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gavin Myre (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Seman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Olson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Win vs Riley Lont (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Akers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs quintin ludtke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erick Avila (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thorin Thelen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hurt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Torres (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Riley Lont (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Dollman (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thorin Thelen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryce Platz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Win vs Ben Swinford (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tad Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Revera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alan Valdez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John McGovern (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gavin Myre (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Lester (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Ford (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.