Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Battle Hardened: Minneapolis
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dakotah Kintigh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Seth Comstock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
16th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew W (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Vore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Fryar (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clay Smith (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Mullis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominic Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Davis Purcell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Bathgate (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tristan Pisani-Blair (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Klein (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Presley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Loss vs Dallin Wallenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Mastowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cole Love (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Gabler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (0.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.