Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Malave (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Freeh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.