Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Minneapolis
Kano, Dracai of Aether
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 11-1-0
75%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
5.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Poe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Burns (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Davis Purcell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Elly Bird (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
11th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Lawrenson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Colin Ross (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
17th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ren Fisk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Seman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
47th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Kasper (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Dyck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elly Bird (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vince Rothman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs John McGovern (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Dahm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kenn Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seth Comstock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vince Rothman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Ehalt (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Clair (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Rolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Riley Lont (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Schutter (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Kasper (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs christian gilbert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yazan Masad (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Braxton Friend (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.