Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Battle Hardened: Minneapolis
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
37 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Stenstrom (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nik Katebian (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gavin Myre (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Clifford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
21st • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Ross (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oren Yishai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ashley Briggs (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Berg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
33rd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody McCarron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Anderson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Bathgate (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Suchomel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
38th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Marefke (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vince Rothman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gavin Myre (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
43rd • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamen Vedova (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Torres (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Rowland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jerome Trujillo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Devin McAtee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
48th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Clark (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Pickens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tristan Pisani-Blair (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
58th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Anderson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jerome Trujillo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
59th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Parker Sutton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Win vs nicklas starland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
61st • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zoe Daniels (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kenn Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rihanna LaGrou (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Mastowski (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dallin Wallenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Tickal (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John McGovern (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Devin McAtee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Pham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Klein (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bradley Jamrozik (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Revera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Beni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rodel Rodea (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Demetris Guzman (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Presley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randall Sims (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs nicklas starland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Ross (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Sims (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David M. Smith (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cole Torres (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randall Sims (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Clair (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Barger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Wilson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua MacMillan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ren Fisk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Porter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Stanley (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bailey Hilten (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cameron Robbins (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darin Voight (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Stanley (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clark Jansen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Hong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.