Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eric Pettinelli

14th • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Jones (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Levy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Long (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Trenton McBride (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Parker Sutton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.12
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.32
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.37
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.28
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.01
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

nicklas starland

67th • 3-6-0

56%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Riley Lont (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ben Swinford (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.84
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.58
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.63
R9	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Matthew Feeney

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Justin Kinison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Justin Rowland

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Dylan Myers

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Clay Smith (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Beni (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elly Bird (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Ptak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.47
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Joel Grizzelle

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Stenstrom (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brandon Hartman

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Bathgate (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathen Byrd (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Tague

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kyle Pollitz (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gavin Myre (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dakota Cook

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alan Valdez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

David Roger Jr.

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jared Smith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Matthew Mullis

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Nicholas Tran

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emery Powell (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Clark Jansen

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bryce Platz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (0.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.