Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Minneapolis

Kassai of the Golden Sand

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Grant Huddleston

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jamen Vedova (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Pickens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tucker Gray

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zoe Daniels

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Matza (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-

Colin Eriksen

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.