Battle Hardened: Minneapolis - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Grant Huddleston

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jamen Vedova (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Pickens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 79:21

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 23:77

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.29
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Tucker Gray

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Zoe Daniels

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Matza (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Colin Eriksen

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.