Ira, Scarlet Revenger
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
38th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs humiaki hattori (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kan Ting JoeB (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
Round 10: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
51st • 6-6-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 正人 田中 (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs fujiwara yudai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs RYO OZAKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs yuki ideue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
55%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroshi Takahashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Makoto Takahashi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroki Miyoshi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 中嶋 海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs tada hidenobu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Draw |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 和田 海里 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroshi Noguchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs kei iikubo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs tada hidenobu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kazuma terui (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Johnny Zen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 奨己 中川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andy Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kazuma terui (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomohisa OBASE (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs タカヤ スギモト (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Koruri Takahashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 広朗 大澤 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs humiaki hattori (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YE MINSHENG (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs TAITO SUZUKI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pedro Marinho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Mitsuki Sakata (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Makoto Takahashi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keung Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Win vs Gyuwon Yoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs jiazhou 吳 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs yuta morita (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shigeru Masuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.