Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroki Miyoshi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 雄斗 宮地 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 和田 海里 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Camden Keener (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tetsuhiro Murata (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67
Round 12: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Round 2: Win vs 了亮 足立 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Round 6: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 雄斗 宮地 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shota kajiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yang Li Siaw (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroki Miyoshi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.