Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 12-1-0
46%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
5.0
Surp
5.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryoko Kitajima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
100:0
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andy Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
23rd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 了亮 足立 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Iada Caio (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs RYO OZAKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
100:0
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
Round 12: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
41st • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fritz Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shing Tsang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
100:0
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
Round 8: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 9: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
44th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Round 10: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs YuDi Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaoru Kishimoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs tomohiro tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kenta iwasaki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs PANG CHEN (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Draw |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kentaro Tanaka (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs 창건 곽 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Koruri Takahashi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Chau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 広朗 大澤 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Draw |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Deitrich Mohan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuaki Fujimoto (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Draw |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroshi Noguchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Satsuki Itagaki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 北斗 神原 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sakaki Masuda (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chan Lion (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pedro Marinho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
Round 6: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sei Inui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rio I (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Law (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Draw |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs May Hayden (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elton Siang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yu Heng Chew (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-1-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs shota kajiro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 荒金 優太 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.