Calling: Kobe 2025 - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marei Oshiro

dropped • 3-3-1

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Xu Zhenzhe (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sei Inui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.33
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Draw	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.84
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Masaaki Yamanobe

dropped • 3-3-1

29%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs sotaro takagishi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs masaru okuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.67
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17

Kaiser Tan

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Satoshi Kitazume (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs yuki ideue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.94
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

PANG CHEN

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Paul Johnson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.19
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.